Friday, September 11, 2009

KFima- a good stock for trading & long-term investing

Background

Kumpulan Fima Berhad ('KFima') is an investment holding company with subsidiaries involved in producing and trading security and confidential documents; operating estate, cattle farming, manufacturing and packaging food products; providing bulk handling and storage of liquid products and cargoes, warehousing and transportation and customs forwarding services, international trading, investment holdings and management of commercial properties.

Recent Financial Results


KFima's net profit increased by 9.1% q-o-q or 85.0% y-o-y to RM18.5 million while turnover increased by 21.0% q-o-q or 0.5% y-o-y to RM92.7 million. The detailed financial statement which was attached to the August 20, 2009 results announcement is displaying an error message. Without the benefit of looking at the detailed financial statement, it is hard to gauge what might have brought about the improved bottom-line. I believe that the improved performance is the results of better CPO prices. KFima's pre-tax profit has also benefited from capital gain of RM5.25 million from the disposal of Banding Island Resort (Source: Business Week).


Table 1: KFima's 8 quarterly results

A look at KFima's last 16 quarterly results shows steady growth in its bottom-line. Top-line dropped back significantly in QE31/3/2009 but this has stabilized in QE30/6/2009.


Chart 1: KFima's 16 quarterly results

Valuation


KFima (closed at RM0.765 as at September 11) is now trailing trading at a PE of 4.3 times (based on EPS of 18 sen, excluding the capital gain of RM5.25 million from the disposal of Banding Island Resort in QE30/6/2009). Price to book is at 0.6 times (based on NTA per share of RM1.37 as at 30/6/2009). At these multiples, KFima appears very attractive.

Other Information


KFima is one of 8 companies in Malaysia that made it to Forbes' Asia Top 200 Best Companies with Turnover of Under USD1 billion. For more, go here.

Technical Outlook

KFima is rising in a short-term uptrend line since March this year. The share price has been consolidating in a descending triangle pattern for the past 6-7 weeks. On Friday, it appeared to have achieved an upside breakout at RM0.76-77, but it closed at the breakout level of RM0.765. If the stock can recruit further buying support in the days ahead, the breakout could lead to a good rally to RM0.90-1.00.


Chart 2: KFima's daily chart as at Sept 11, 2009 (Source: Quickcharts)


Chart 3: KFima's monthly chart as at Sept 11, 2009 (Source: Quickcharts)

Conclusion

Based on good financial performance, attractive valuation & potential bullish technical breakout, KFima could be a good stock for both a trading Buy and a long-term Buy.

3 comments:

  1. Hi Alex,
    I understand that FimaCorp is 59.55% owned by Fima Metal Box Holdings Sdn Bhd which is 100% owned by Kfima. Is this correct?
    Thanks.

    ReplyDelete
  2. If bought at RM0.80 when you read this blog, ROI 73% within 14 months. I believe 73% has met many investor's ROI Target.

    ReplyDelete
  3. @Ben Gan, why don't you read the annual report to confirm that?

    ReplyDelete