Result Update
For QE31/7/2014, SCGM's net profit increased 41% q-o-q or 13% y-o-y to
RM3.5 million while revenue increased by 15% q-o-q or 6% y-o-y to RM27
million. Its revenue increased q-o-q due to higher demand from Asian & Australian markets. Bottom-line improved due to higher sales & lower raw material costs.
Table: SCGM's last 8 quarterly results
Chart 1: SCGM's last 22 quarterly results
Valuation
SCGM (closed at RM2.38 last Friday) is now trading at a PE of 16 times
(based on last 4 quarters' EPS of 15.0 sen). Based on 2-year CAGR for NP for past 2 years of 35%, PEG ratio is still reasonable at 0.5 times.
Technical Outlook
SCGM is clearly in a long-term uptrend. However it could be due for price consolidation after its large price gain of RM1.50 over the past 8 months. If that happens, I believe the RM2.00 psychological support should kick in.
Chart 2: SCGM's weekly chart as at September 12, 2014 (Source: Tradesignum)
Conclusion
Despite good financial performance and fair valuation, SCGM is a good stock for long-term investment. However, its sharp price gain in the past few months could lead to near-term weakness which could present a good opportunity to buy at lower price level.
Note:
In
addition to the disclaimer in the preamble to my blog, I hereby confirm
that I do not have any relevant interest in, or any interest in
the acquisition or disposal of, SCGM.
Hi Alex-i like your new image ! make you look more professional ! Can you throw some of your thinkings about the present state of the market? Ever since Bursa hit 70 B turnover two weeks ago the market seems to behave very erratically.Is it the Budget fear? The GST uncertainty or some political uneasiness? Should I take profits and conserve cash? Tks
ReplyDeleteHi charles leong
ReplyDeleteThank you for your feedback.
The nervousness in the market is discomforting. While nervous markets may lead to correction, overconfident markets do more than correct; they reverse and sometimes crash.
So, be cautious in this nervous market but be grateful that the players are still sane enough to be nervous.