Cepatwawasan Group Bhd ('Cepat') is cultivating oil palm and operating palm oil mills; operating biomass & bio-gas renewal energy power plants and sells oil palm products.
via Company's website
Result Update
For QE30/9/2016, Cepat's net profit increased by 105% q-o-q or 187% y-o-y to RM10.4 million while turnover rose 54% q-o-q or 8% y-o-y to RM79 million.
Despite a drop in construction income of RM29.95 million arising from the recognition of IC Interpretation 12 Service Concession Agreements for the Power Plant segment as compared to the preceding year corresponding quarter, revenue rose by RM5.55 million to RM79.08 million y-o-y mainly due to an increase in both sales volume and prices of CPO and PK. Sales volume of CPO and PK increased by 31% and 39 % respectively whereas price of CPO and PK increased by 26% and 89% respectively.
Profit before tax rose RM8.88 million to RM14.38 million
y-o-y mainly due to an increase in CPO and PK price by 26% and 89% respectively
and a corresponding increase in FFB price by 42%.
Performance of the respective operating business segments on y-o-y basis are
as follows:
- Plantation – The increase in profit before tax by RM6.27 million (>100%) mainly due to higher FFB price by 42%.
- Oil Mill – The increase in profit before tax by RM1.79 million (>100%) from loss before tax of RM0.05 million to a profit before tax of RM1.74 million was mainly due to higher milling margin and higher CPO and PK sales volume by 31% and 39% respectively as well as higher CPO and PK price by 26% and 89% .
- Renewable Energy Power Plant – The increase in profit before tax by RM1.99 million (>100%) mainly due to increase in efficiency and export of electricity by 29%. The 12MW Biomass Power Plant generated and exported 15,715,635 kWh for this current quarter as compared to 12,170,697 kWh in the corresponding preceding quarter.
Table 1: Cepat's last 8 quarterly results
Graph 1: Cepat's last 40 quarterly results
Valuation
Cepat (at RM0.875 as at end of morning session) is trading at a PE of 18.6 times (based on adjusted last 4 quarters' EPS of 4.76 sen). However, if Cepat can maintain its earning similar to the last 2 quarters, then its full-year EPS would be about 10 sen. Its PER would be at a decent 8.8 times.
Technical Outlook
Cepat broke above its intermediate downtrend line, RR at RM0.72 in late October. On November 11, it broke above the resistance from the horizontal line at RM0.82. Its immediate resistance will be at RM0.95 and beyond that at RM1.05.
Chart 1: Cepat's daily chart as at November 16, 2016 (Source: Chartnexus)
Chart 2: Cepat's weekly chart as at November 16, 2016 (Source: Chartnexus)
Conclusion
Based on improving financial performance & bullish technical outlook, Cepat could be a good stock for Trading BUY.
Note:
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Hi Alex,
ReplyDeleteBased on your experience, SGX listed Indonesia palm oil stock and Bursa listed palm oil stock, which is better?
I owned Indofood Agri.
Hi Chong BoonKee
ReplyDeleteI can't answer your question because I don't monitor SGX stocks. I just had a quick look at the price chart of Indofood (5JS) and its last 10-year profit track record. I came to this conclusion:
1. Indofood's profit, which has been trending lower after FY2011, could have bottomed in FY2015. With better CPO prices, profit may rise in FY2016.
2. Indofood is trading at an attractive 0.8 time its NAV.
3. presently, it's trading not far from the low of 2015 of S$0.40. The latter was almost as low as the 2008 low of S$0.37.
4. If Indofood can break above S$0.65, I believe the upleg will begin.
Based on the above, Indofood (at S$0.51) is considered a good stock for long-term investment.