Tuesday, May 21, 2013

Boxpak- poised to rise?


Result Update

For QE31/3/32013, Boxpak's net profit dropped 13% q-o-q or 1% y-o-y to RM3.5 million while revenue was higher by 135 y-o-y but dropped 7% q-o-q to RM61 million. Revenue dropped q-o-q as previous quarter was higher due to festive carton in Vietnam operations. Bottom-line dropped q-o-q due to implementation of minimum wages in Malaysia & revision to minimum wages in Vietnam.


Table: Bixpak's last 8 quarterly results


Chart 1: Boxpak's last 22 quarterly results

Valuation

Boxpak (closed at RM2.45 yesterday) is now trading at a PE of 7.8 times (based on last 4 quarters' EPS of 31.6 sen). At this multiple, Boxpak is deemed fairly valued for a small-cap stock.

Technical Outlook

Boxpak is in a gradual uptrend. For the past 1 years, Boxpak has been trapped with a symmetrical triangle with resistance at RM2.30. On May 15, it broken above that resistance, albeit on thin volume. If it can recruit more support, Boxpak may continue with its prior gradual uptrend.


Chart 2: Boxpak's weekly chart as at May 21, 2013 (Source: quickcharts)

Conclusion

Based on satisfactory financial performance & potentially bullish technical breakout, Boxpak could be a good stock for long-term investment. Its valuation is however not cheap for a small-cap.

Note: 
In addition to the disclaimer in the preamble to my blog, I hereby confirm that I do not have any relevant interest in, or any interest in the acquisition or disposal of, Boxpak.

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