For QE30/6/2016, CIMB's net profit rose 7% q-o-q or 36% y-o-y to RM873 million.
Table: CIMB's last 8 quarterly results
From Chart 1 & 2 below, we can see that CIMB's financial performance is on the mend.
Chart 1: CIMB's last 16 quarterly results
Chart 2: CIMB's last 11 half-years' results
CIMB (closed at RM4.77 yesterday) is now trading at a trailing PER of 12.6x (based on last 4 quarters' EPS of 38 sen). At this PER, CIMB is deemed fairly valued.
The weekly chart shows CIMB has yet to reverse from its downtrend. The positive sign is that the recent low is higher than the January low of less than RM4.00 but the stock has yet to surplus its April high of RM5.00. In addition, MACD is still in the negative territory.
Chart 3: CIMB's weekly chart as at Aug 29, 2016 (Source: ShareInvestor.com)
The monthly chart shows the MACD has crossed above the MACD signal line. In addition, ADXR has peaked and dropping. The last 2 times we saw a peak in ADXR was in 2007 & 2011 when the stock peaked. This round the peak in the ADXR could well signal the trough in the stock.
Chart 4: CIMB's monthly chart as at Aug 29, 2016 (Source: ShareInvestor.com)
Finally, we can see that share price downtrend could have overshot as the financial performance has already started to recover in the past 6 quarters.
Chart 5: CIMB's weekly chart as at Aug 29, 2016 plus 16-quarterly P&L (Source: ShareInvestor.com)
Based on improving financial performance & tentative technical signals, CIMB could be a good stock for a recovery play.
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