Results Update
For QE31/12/2014, Amway's
net profit dropped by 7% q-o-q or 20% y-o-y to RM23 million while
turnover increased by 5% q-o-q or 16% y-o-y to RM230 million.
Revenue increased q-o-q mainly due to higher sales generated by sales and marketing programs and higher productivity driven by Nutrilite 80th Anniversary programs. The Group’s profit before tax decreased by 0.6% q-o-q, mainly due to higher operating expenses.
Table: Amway's last 8 quarterly results
From the Chart 1 below, we can see that profit margins have declined in the past 2 quarters, probably due to the strengthening of the USD vis-a-vis the Ringgit. Unless Ringgit recovers, I expect Amway's profit margin to remain weak.
Chart 1: Amway's P&L, Profit Margins & Dividend Payout last 30 quarterly results
Valuation
Amway
(traded at RM11.10 yesterday) is trading at a trailing PE of 18
times (based on last 4 quarters' EPS of 61 sen). Dividend yield remains strong at 5.0%. Despite the high PER, Amway will still stay firm at the present price due to its healthy DY.
Technical Outlook
Amway
is in a long-term uptrend line. Immediate support is at RM10.40 while its immediate resistance is at RM11.50.
Chart 2: Amway's monthly chart as at Feb 10, 2015 (Source: ShareInvestor.com)
Conclusion
Based
on high dividend yield & positive technical outlook, Amway is a
good stock for long-term investment, especially for income purpose.
Note:
In
addition to the disclaimer in the preamble to my blog, I hereby confirm
that I do not have any relevant interest in, or any interest in
the acquisition or disposal of, Amway.
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