Result Update
For QE31/3/2015, Harta's net profit rose 11% q-o-q or 12% y-o-y to
RM55 million while revenue gained 7% q-o-q or 9% y-o-y to
RM305
million. Revenue increased q-o-q due to the strengthening of the USD and increase on sales volume. Bottom-line improved due to lower operating profit margin - dropped from 24.9% to 22.2% - basically due to increase in maintenance and packaging material costs.
Table: Harta's last 8 quarterly results
From Chart 1 below, we can see that the profit margin has been sliding
since 2010. Revenue has finally begun to rise again after a pause of 5 quarters. The increased revenue was able to arrest the drop in profit margin and this stopped the slide in the bottom-line.
Chart 1: Harta's last 30 quarterly results
Valuation
Harta (closed at RM8.22 yesterday) is trading at a PE of 30
times (based on last 4 quarters' EPS of 27.27 sen). At this PE multiple,
Harta is deemed over-valued.
Technical Outlook
Harta is in a long-term uptrend over the past 6 years. It may have made a temporary top at RM8.50 and could correct back to find support at the psychological RM8.00 mark or the horizontal support at RM7.50 (which coincides with the 10-month SMA line).
Chart 2: Harta's daily chart as at May 5, 2015 (Source: Share Investor)
Conclusion
Based on lack of growth in its earnings, demanding valuation & mildly negative technical
outlook, I would maintain my rating for Harta as a SELL INTO STRENGTH.
Note:
In
addition to the disclaimer in the preamble to my blog, I hereby confirm
that I do not have any relevant interest in, or any interest in
the acquisition or disposal of, Harta.
No comments:
Post a Comment