Thursday, February 13, 2020

Covid-19: Why the Surge in Daily New Cases & Daily Deaths?

This morning, the numbers reported in worldometers.info jumped sharply due to a new diagnosis classification adopted. The daily new cases soared to 15110, which pushed up the total cases from 45170 on Feb 11 to 60280. The daily deaths also jumped to 252, which caused the total deaths to rise from 1114 on Feb 11 to 1367.

However, the sudden surge was due to a new diagnosis classification adopted by the Chinese authority. In Hubei province, this re-classification contributed 15110 cases to the daily new cases and 242 deaths to daily deaths on Feb 12 for today. Below you will see the charts for daily new cases and deaths as reported as well as adjusted to exclude the impact of the new classification.


Chart: Covid-19's Daily New Cases & Death and adjusted for new classification

For those who like to see numbers, here's the table.


Table: Covid-19's Daily New Cases & Death and adjusted for new classification

From the above table, we can see daily new cases has plunged from around 2000 to 270 while daily deaths has dropped from about 100 to 9.

Based on the above, it is safe to say that the situation continues to improve.

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