Thursday, August 07, 2008

Engtex poised to test its long-term downtrend line

Engtex Group Bhd ('Engtex') is involved in the manufacture of pipes, valves and fittings & plumbing material and the distribution of building materials, general hardware products, steel related products and engineering tools. In the end of 2007, Engtex has also begun to venture into property development.

Based on the 8-quarters results below, Engtex's financial performance has improved significantly in the past 2 quarters. The increase in revenue and net profit were mainly due to "the strong market demand of its metal-related trading products and manufactured steel products in tandem with the uptrend in international and domestic metal prices".



If Engtex can maintain its last 2 quarters' performance, its full year's Basic EPS could be about 20 sen [or, Diluted EPS of 13.7 sen]. As such, Engtex (closed at RM1.11 yesterday) is now trading at a trailing PE of 5.6 times. While this may look inexpensive, this is higher than Hiaptek's trailing PE of about 3.7 times (based on Hiaptek's closing price of RM1.57 & annualized EPS of 42 sen [using last 2 quarters' EPS of 21 sen)]. For more on Hiaptek, go here.

Engtex share price has been rising steadily for the past one month, from a low of RM0.68 in July 7th (see Chart 1 below). What's more interesting is that the share price is poised to test the long-term downtrend line resistance at RM1.11-15 soon (see Chart 3 below). A break above that level (with good volume) would be very bullish for this stock. The next resistance would be the horizontal lines of RM1.35 & RM1.80.


Chart 1: Engtex's daily chart as at August 6th (source: Quickcharts)



Chart 2: Engtex's weekly chart as at August 6th (source: Quickcharts)



Chart 3: Engtex's monthly chart as at August 6th (source: Quickcharts)

While a break above RM1.11-15 could be bullish, one must take note that Engtex's share price has risen by 63% in a span of just one month. As such, this potential investment (or trade) should be viewed with caution & protective stop should be employed.

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