Result Update
For QE31/3/2013, JTinter's net profit rebounded to RM40 million from RM3 million in QE31/12/2012 or RM38 in QE31/3/2012. Revenue was mixed- up 7% q-o-q but down 4% y-o-y to RM310 million. JTInter's revenues increased q-o-q due to higher sales volume. Bottom-line improved q-o-q, driven by higher sales volume, lower marketing investments and lower operating expenditures in the current quarter. In addition, there was a one-time restructuring impact of the Group leaf and stemmery operations amounting to RM12.2 million in the preceding quarter.
![](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj2-8l9l4UwJx73S5elr1oShFI9K-FWD37cg_kxpvb9hqccONwWXcB2piSvShEZMfdEObgyChjDtigOcRyFcKprSsx_Ad1Hu1y77AnhYk2f0JYR6TBG6bxrZDEiOpF5Pj4ayd_a/s320/JTinter's+8Qs_20130331.gif)
Table: JTInter's last 8 quarterly results
![](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgwwAP9chZ6VF9G_vQPFPiDvPJOQJVsqO55llEB5oes2rWIMoM-yv7pmzV324MwP27QmcF0yowIrXVDexddZoBnUNxH_mtL8XfQEBXsi-N006CR20nxs4lqIg6Igh9zxy-xUP1S/s320/JTInter's+24Qs.gif)
Chart 1: JTInter's last 24 quarterly results
Valuation
JTInter (closed at RM6.80 yesterday) is now trading at a PE of 15.5 times (based on last 4 quarters' EPS of 44 sen, after adjusting for the one-time restructuring expenses of RM12.2 million incurred in QE31/12/2012). For a 'consumer' stock, JTInter is deemed fairly valued. It paid dividend of 41 sen in FY2012 & 54 sen in FY2011. Based on last FY dividend payout, its dividend yield is at a respectable 6%.
Technical outlook
JTInter is still in an uptrend line. Its upside is capped at RM6.80-7.00. Until it can break above that level, JTInter is expected to swing between the uptrend line (at RM6.20) and the RM7.00 mark.
![](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhwrylbzdSvUdpiej5JP_E9uQf5PA1JRs4IwWs1BYXX-PIoTO9T433VGI_kn_Zlroy2zOoe_v5lGPXtodRHyh901PzTiD3aIWWihqvMGy0cXdYxOumFp-x7qhQZwP_kX1rH_0vd/s320/JTInter+m20130521.gif)
Chart 2: JTInter's weekly chart as at May 22, 2013_11.00am (Source: Quickcharts)
Conclusion
Based on improved financial performance, reasonable valuation & positive technical outlook, I would revise JTInter's rating from SELL INTO STRENGTH to HOLD.
Note:
In addition to the disclaimer in the preamble to my blog, I hereby confirm that I do not have any relevant interest in, or any interest in the acquisition or disposal of, JTInter.
2 comments:
Hi Alex,
Since the cigaratte's price has increased RM0.30, should i buy JT International now at RM6.80 ?
Appreciate your response.
Thank you and take care.
Regards,
Seer Hou
Hi Yee s
I think BAT raised the price of cigarettes by 30 sen but JT Inter and Phillip Morris chose not to raise. I am not sure how this would impact JT Inter or BAT.
Chartwise, JT Inter is in an upward or bearish wedge, with resistance at RM7.00-7.10 and support at RM6.20-6.30. A bearish wedge tends to break on the downside; thus the term bearish wedge. We will see whether JT Inter will defy the commonly accepted technical reading or succumb to it.
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