Monday, June 22, 2020

Market Outlook as at June 19, 2020

Last week's correction has brought the FBMKLCI to the medium-term uptrend line, SS at 1500. The index is now hovering just below the long-term downtrend line, RR which stretches back to April 2018. With MACD hooked down and Stochastic RSI in the oversold territory, the index may continue to consolidate for a while. A break below the 1500 level could send the index to the 1450 level, which is the line connecting the recent lows after the rally began in March.

Chart 1: FBMKLCI's daily chart as at June 19, 2020 (Source: Malaysiastock.biz)

The weakness among the blue chip stocks - especially among the glove stocks - have not stopped the play among the 2nd and 3rd liner stocks. In fact, small-cap stocks and tech stocks have been charging higher, which reflects a similar trend in Nasdaq. See the charts for Dow and Nasdaq below.

Chart 2: FBMACE's daily chart as at June 19, 2020 (Source: Malaysiastock.biz)

Chart 3: DJIA's daily chart as at June 19, 2020 (Source: Stockcharts.com)

Chart 4: Nasdaq's daily chart as at June 19, 2020 (Source: Stockcharts.com)

Based on the above, I believe the broad market may hold steady for this week. Trading will continue to be choppy, and it will favor those who are nimble and ruthless. Good luck!!

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