Wednesday, November 10, 2010

Harta benefitted from increased demand for nitrile gloves

Results Update

Harta has just announced its results for QE30/9/2010. Its net profit increased by 13.6% q-o-q or 42.3% y-o-y to RM47.1 million while its turnover 8.4% q-o-q or 37.0% y-o-y to RM184 million. The better bottom-line was attributable to increased demand for nitrile glove, effective cost control & recognition of fair value gain in financial derivative of RM1.6 million.


Table: Harta's last 8 quarterly results


Chart 1: Harta's last 16 quarterly results

Valuation

Harta (closed at RM5.53 yesterday) is now trading at a trailing PE of 12 times (based on last 4 quarters' EPS of 47 sen). At this multiple, Harta is deemed undemanding.

Technical Outlook

Harta is still consolidating, with upside capped by the strong horizontal resistance at RM5.60-5.66. However we can see that the MACD indicator has hooked up, which could be signaling a potential re-test of the RM5.60-5.66 level.


Chart 2: Harta's weekly chart as at Nov 9, 2010 (Source: Quickcharts)

Conclusion


Based on good financial performance & undemanding valuation, Harta may be good for long-term investment. However, the stock's upside is capped at RM5.60-5.66. If it can break above that level, Harta could become a good trading BUY.

10 comments:

Stephen Pui said...

Dear Alex,

May I know what is the better time to buy Maxis?

rabaman said...

Dear Alex,

I'd appreciate if you could share the technical outlook on Century Logistics?

Thanks!

kiwi said...

dear Alex

kindly share something about Evergreen..it look interesting

Alex Lu said...

Hi Stephen Pui

Maxis's growth is slow and dependent on non-voice or data business as well as greater uptake of broadband business. For QE30/6/2010. Maxis's turnover increased by 22% y-o-y but was unchanged when compared to QE31/3/2010. It recorded a net profit of RM532 mil for QE30/6/2010 which was lower than the net profit of RM552 mil for QE31/3/2010.

At RM5.30, Maxis is trading at a current PE of 18 times. At this multiple, Maxis is fully valued. As such, I see unexciting prospect for Maxis for the near term.

Alex Lu said...

Hi rabaman

Century is in an uptrend line with support at RM1.65. If it can surpass its horizontal resistance at RM1.74-1.75, it may continue with its uptrend.

Jim said...

Hi Alex,

Current price PBA of 0.91 is a safe buy ?

Alex Lu said...

Hi kiwi

Bad news for Evergreen. The stock broke its uptrend line at RM1.55 in early October. Its next support is at RM1.45 & then at RM1.30 & RM1.20. Based on technical consideration, Evergreen is a SELL.

AlexP said...

Hi Alex, how do you find Adventa compared to Harta? The stock is taking a beating today!

Alex Lu said...

Hi Jimmy Yeoh

It looks like PBA failed to stay above the breakout level (above its long-term downtrend line) of RM1.00. As such, its technical outlook is again unexciting... until favorable financial results from the higher water tariff flow through. For now, we can expect the stock to find support at horizontal lines RM0.90 & RM0.80.

I think this stock is worth a buy at RM0.80-0.90.

Alex Lu said...

Hi AlexP

You ask a very tough question. That's why I sat on your comment for a while. It's like asking which is better- Toyota or BMW?

Based on gut feeling, I prefer Adventa to Harta because I am not too comfortable with the rubber glove sector. Harta, with its higher nitrile gloves output, may do better than Adventa in the examination gloves market but the latter- a big producer of surgical glove- may stand its ground equally well. Since Adventa is nearly at its low, I feel it is a safer bet than Harta which is at its peak.

This is not an answer based on technical or fundamental analysis which you can obtain from my blog or some simple searching on your part. Good luck.