Thursday, June 18, 2015

Tenaga: Buying 1MDB's stake in Project 3B

The Cabinet has just approved the move by Tenaga Nasional Berhad (TNB) to buy over 1Malaysia Development Berhad (1MDB)'s stake in the Project 3B coal power plant for an undisclosed sum. For more, go here.

From Chart 1, we can see the sharp plunge in Tenaga's share price. At the time of writing, the share price has stabilized at RM12.56.

Chart 1: Tenaga's 5-min chart as at Tenaga 18, 2015_2.45pm (Source: ShareInvestor.com)

The monthly chart below shows that Tenaga's long-term uptrend has halted in the past few weeks- probably due to reports that it has to come in to help out in Project 3B. Tenaga's share prices were moving in a large expanding triangle, with immediate support at RM12.00. If the share price falls below this mark, the downtrend should begin in earnest. 

With the new cost pass through regime in place, Tenaga's share price weakness may be a temporary phenomenon due to the perceived bailout of 1MDB's Project 3B.

Until the details of the purchase of Project 3B are announced, we are not sure how it would benefit or impact Tenaga. For now, I believe that Tenaga could be a good BUY if it tests the RM12.00 mark.


Chart 2: Tenaga's monthly chart as at Tenaga 18, 2015_2.45pm (Source: ShareInvestor.com)

Note:
In addition to the disclaimer in the preamble to my blog, I hereby confirm that I do not have any relevant interest in, or any interest in the acquisition or disposal of, Tenaga.

No comments: