Friday, October 22, 2010

Exxon may have a bullish breakout

When I was reading up on BP's Deepwater Horizon oil spill in April-July, I was struck by the downtrend in a rival company, Exxon Mobil Corporation (NYSE: XOM). Since then, I have been keeping an eye on its chart. I noticed that Exxon may have just broken above its downtrend line at USD66 yesterday. Exxon trades at a PE of 12.8 times. For a summary of Exxon, go here.


Chart: Exxon's weekly chart as at Oct 16, 2010 (Source: Yahoo Finance)

Based on the technical breakout, Exxon could be a trading BUY.

25 comments:

cheer said...

How do u think the TChong target price base on coming Q ?

Unknown said...

May I know how and where can I trade US stock and index ?
Thank you

hkloon said...

Hi Alex,

What's your view on Mahsing?

regards

wong said...

hi bro Alex. Please comment on BJRTAIL ... look like breakout le. how u think ??

MaxWealth88 said...

hi alex,

what do you think about Proton as an undervalue stock? Its price is lower than its NTA and also launching new model soon. should worth >5?

thanks
maxwealth88

cheer said...

What is SIGGAS business nature and how u think this stock .

Anonymous said...

Hi Alex,

I still hold Fajar shares which I bought a couple months back. Can I have your opinion on the current and immediate future trend of this counter.

Thank you.

Anonymous said...

Hi Alex,

I still hold Fajar shares which I bought a couple months back. Can I have your opinion on the current and immediate future trend of this counter.

Thank you.

Anonymous said...

Sorry for the double comments which were inadvertently posted.

wong said...

hi bro. please comment on Permaju. Thx bro.

Alex Lu said...

Hi Cheer,

I can't answer that. I can only say that TChong has met my expectation of its price objective of RM5.00-6.00 ( here ).

Ivan said...

Any idea on the coming MRT annoucment? When will the winner list will be annouce? Tq

Alex Lu said...

hi kk

You can trade US stocks with your stockbrokers. Most of the stockbroking firms in Malaysia have made arrangement to enable their clients to trade in overseas stocks. I am not sure hpw one can trade in index futures.

Alex Lu said...

Hi hkloon

Mahsing recorded a EPS of 7.5 sen for 1H2010. At RM1.89, Mahsing is now trading at a trailing PE of 12.6 times. However, Mahsing's future earning may be higher due to its aggressive launch schedule. This could see the company's earning soaring which would bring down its PE.

Chartwise, Mahsing has tested its 2007 high of RM1.94 recently before correcting. The strong support would be at the 10-week SMA line at RM1.83 or at the 20-week SMA line at RM1.76.

Alex Lu said...

Hi wong

You are right. BJRTAIL is on the verge of an upside breakout at RM0.43. Keep an close watch on this stock. The bullish breakout could happen soon.

Alex Lu said...

Hi MaxWealth88

Proton's NTA per share of RM9.85 as at 30/6/2010 is cold comfort because the management cannot extract decent return from its assets. Similarly, it also has no plan to break up the company to extract value from these assets. So, we must see beyond this number. Proton's new model line-up is a start but is it enough to launch it into a new growth track. Proton has exhausted investors' goodwill by persistently "talking the talk" but consistently failing to "walk the talk".

Alex Lu said...

Hi cheer

For SIGGAS's business nature, go to Bursa website. Alternatively, try here .

The company's net profit for 1H2010 ended 30/6/2010 was RM2.756 million. This gives an annualized EPS of 3.7 sen. Based on yesterday's close of RM1.11, SIGGAS is trading at a trailing PE of 30 times. At this PE multiple, SIGGAS is richly valued.

SIGGAS has been trending higher since its listing. Its immediate support is at RM0.96-1.00.

Alex Lu said...

Hi TheOne

Fajar reported an EPS of 16.2 sen for FYJun2010. At yesterday's close of RM1.09, Fajar is trading at a trailing PE of 6.7 times.

Chartwise, Fajar looks set to go higher. Its 10-week SMA line has crossed above its 20 & 40-week SMA lines in March. Fajar & Fajar-WA have risen a bit on increased volume over the past 3 weeks. If Fajar can surpass its high of RM1.19 recorded in August 2009, it could potentially hit a high of RM1.40-1.50.

Alex Lu said...

Hi wong

Permaju is a range-bound stock, trading between RM0.30 & RM0.50. On the otehr hand, one can also draw a downtrend line on the chart (if you ignore the sharp spikes of Nov 16-23, 2007 and Apr 23-30, 2010). The resistance from this downtrend line is at RM0.40. The stock is pressing against this downtrend line now.

Permaju is a medium-size company which has incurred losses for the past 2 years.

Based on its poor performance & unexciting technical outlook, you can give this stock a miss.

Alex Lu said...

Hi Ivan

I have no idea when the MRT will be announced.

kangmingw said...

what u think of cimb?

learner said...

Hi Alex
I like QSR because of its dominance in the fast food business. i noticed the share price has gone up quite a bit recently. what is your opinion on its short and long term outlook? if i plan to get in, at what price should i get in base on your analysis? Tq

jimmy said...

Hello Alex,

What do you think of HSI-CB? Look like trading at quite a discount. Can you please help to clarify.

Thanks

Jimmy

Anonymous said...

Hi Alex,

Thank you for you opinion on Fajar.

Its really a slow moving counter but I do agree its on the upward trend lately with volume picking up.

Cheers.

. said...

hi alex,

how do you think for ho wah-wb, ho wah and dutaland warrant? right time to buy now? hope to get some advice.