Results Update
For QE31/7/2014, Astro's net profit increased by 7% q-o-q or 39%
y-o-y to RM138 million while revenue increased by 8% y-o-y or 14% y-o-y to RM1.35 billion.
The increased revenue q-o-q due to an increase in subscription, advertising and other
revenue RM29.9 million, RM45.2 million and RM20.1 million respectively.
Net profit increased q-o-q due to an increase in EBITDA of
RM21.0 million and lower depreciation of set-top boxes of RM4.5 million. The increase was
partially offset by higher tax expenses of RM20.3 million.
Table: Astro's last 8 quarterly results
Chart 1: Astro's last 12 quarterly results
Valuation
Astro (closed at RM3.38 last Friday) is now trading at a trailing PE of 35
times (based on last 4 quarters' EPS of 9.6 sen). At this PE, Astro is
over-valued. This high valuation cannot be justified by its tepid growth as reflected by PE/G ratio of 1.8 times.
Technical Outlook
Ashas broken below its intermediate uptrend line, S1-S1 at RM3.40 in June. Nevertheless, it is still in a long-term uptrend line, SS with the support at RM3.05-3.10.
Chart 2: Astro's daily chart as at Sep 19, 2014 (Source: Tradesignum)
Conclusion
Astro is a good stock for long-term investment. Due to high valuation, Astro is to be avoided. Its current rating as SELL INTO
STRENGTH is wishful thinking. However, if it drops to RM3.10, it could be a good trading buy.
Note:
In
addition to the disclaimer in the preamble to my blog, I hereby confirm
that I do not have any relevant interest in, or any interest in
the acquisition or disposal of, Astro.
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