Monday, September 15, 2014

SCGM: Bottom-line rose due to lower material cost

Result Update

For QE31/7/2014, SCGM's net profit increased 41% q-o-q or 13% y-o-y to RM3.5 million while revenue increased by 15% q-o-q or 6% y-o-y to RM27 million. Its revenue increased q-o-q  due to higher demand from Asian & Australian markets. Bottom-line improved due to higher sales & lower raw material costs.


Table: SCGM's last 8 quarterly results


Chart 1: SCGM's last 22 quarterly results

Valuation

SCGM (closed at RM2.38 last Friday) is now trading at a PE of 16 times (based on last 4 quarters' EPS of 15.0 sen). Based on 2-year CAGR for NP for past 2 years of 35%, PEG ratio is still reasonable at 0.5 times.

Technical Outlook

SCGM is clearly in a long-term uptrend. However it could be due for price consolidation after its large price gain of RM1.50 over the past 8 months. If that happens, I believe the RM2.00 psychological support should kick in.


Chart 2: SCGM's weekly chart as at September 12, 2014 (Source: Tradesignum)

Conclusion

Despite good financial performance and fair valuation, SCGM is a good stock for long-term investment. However, its sharp price gain in the past few months could lead to near-term weakness which could present a good opportunity to buy at lower price level.

Note:
In addition to the disclaimer in the preamble to my blog, I hereby confirm that I do not have any relevant interest in, or any interest in the acquisition or disposal of, SCGM.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Hi Alex-i like your new image ! make you look more professional ! Can you throw some of your thinkings about the present state of the market? Ever since Bursa hit 70 B turnover two weeks ago the market seems to behave very erratically.Is it the Budget fear? The GST uncertainty or some political uneasiness? Should I take profits and conserve cash? Tks

Alex Lu said...

Hi charles leong

Thank you for your feedback.

The nervousness in the market is discomforting. While nervous markets may lead to correction, overconfident markets do more than correct; they reverse and sometimes crash.

So, be cautious in this nervous market but be grateful that the players are still sane enough to be nervous.