For QE31/7/2014, Haio's net profit dropped by 42% q-o-q or 29% y-o-y to RM6.2 million while revenue dropped by 19% q-o-q or 9% y-o-y to RM50 million. Revenue dropped q-o-q due to drop in revenue for all three divisions: MLM, Wholesale & Retail. The drop in MLM & Retail divisions was attributed to last quarter's higher sales which coincided with incentive trip promotion.Wholesale division's revenue dropped due to more cautious consumer spending. The decreased revenue led to lower Net Profit.
The explanation for the drop in revenue would have been acceptable except that the revenue of the immediate preceding quarter was also lower q-o-q. So what we have is a string of lower revenue - never a good thing - and declining profit which was brought on by declining sales and declining profit margin. Haio's prospect in the near term looks rather negative.

Table: Haio's last 8 quarterly results

Chart 1: Haio's last 38 quarterly results
Valuation
Haio (at RM2.70 yesterday) is now trading at a trailing PE of 14 times (based on last 4 quarters' EPS of 19 sen. At this PE, Haio is deemed fairly valued.
Techncial Outlook
Haio is in an upward channel, with support at RM2.45 & resistance at RM3.00.

Chart 2: Haio's weekly chart as at Sep 24, 2014 (Source: Tradesignum)
Conclusion
Based on poorer financial performance & full valuation, I would revise Haio's rating to a TAKE PROFIT.
Note:
In addition to the disclaimer in the preamble to my blog, I hereby confirm that I do not have any relevant interest in, or any interest in the acquisition or disposal of, Haio.















































